I would have to agree 100 percent....
----- Original Message -----
From: Joshua Marinacci ">joshy@mindspring.com>
To: Pete Hardie ">pete.hardie@dvsg.sciatl.com>
Cc: ">ale@ale.org>
Sent: Tuesday, May 02, 2000 4:42 PM
Subject: Re: [ale] CNN Poll: Should M$ be broken up
>
> Pete Hardie wrote:
> > I'll reply to this one set, and then I'll stop. It's getting more and
> > more irrelevant to the ALE list.
>
> You're right, this is getting increasingly off topic, so i'll try to
> expand the conversation while bringing it back on topic.
>
> There seem to be two sides to this argument. One says that Microsoft is
> guilty of a having a monopoly and should be broken up to benefit the
> consumers. Increased competition will lower prices and drive innovation
> The other side says that a Microsoft break up will hurt the industry and
> later on, consumers. I propose a third side and is probably more
> relevant to Linux than the other two: It doesn't matter.
>
> The software industry is very fast paced, and it's only been around for
> 25 years. Steel and oil lasted much longer, but they one day stopped
> being the next big thing. The same is going to happen to software
> eventually, and desktop software much sooner. We need to start thinking
> about that.
>
> Microsoft won their monopoly through many business practices which range
> from predatory to possibly illegal (we'll have to wait for the judge to
> rule before we can say if it's "actually" illegal). But Microsoft is the
> owner of a desktop software monopoly. How many desktop software startups
> do you see poping up every day? All of the growth and all of the
> startups are involved in post-desktop industries like streaming media,
> server appliances, wireless connectivity, the automated home, and
> internet consoles. Desktop computer numbers are leveling off while
> sales of alternative platforms like PDAs and cellphones are
> skyrocketing. The desktop computer is dead, and that means that the
> owner of the desktop operating system is no longer relevant.
>
> The problem is that Microsoft knows this and wants to use their existing
> monopoly to transition into future arenas. Fortunately they have not
> been sucessful. MSN is still second to AOL and Mindspring. MSNBC is
> still second to CNN. WinCE is losing dismally to Palm at the low end and
> Apple's new iPad should compete nicely at the high end. Microsoft still
> has a chance though. They have gotten their hands into everything and
> have strong control of the server market. Everytime Linux replaces an
> NT box we are making one more nick in Microsoft's armor. Eventually they
> will be too weak to persue the real future.
>
> So I think that the outcome of trial doesn't matter. The damage was
> done a long time ago and the world has moved on. The important thing is
> to ensure that Microsoft doesn't take over the new industries they way
> they dominated the old. Let's hope today's investors are smart enough to
> realize that if they give Microsoft the chance, MS will do it again.
>
>
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